Bayesian Probability·Rules·Lesson 3 of 4

Bayesian Comparison of Rival Hypotheses

Connects Bayesian updating to comparative reasoning between competing hypotheses using the Bayes factor and qualitative Bayesian comparison.

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In this lesson · 7 sections · 5 worked examples · 4 practice activities

Rival hypotheses always frame the question
The Bayes factor: measuring the weight of evidence
Qualitative Bayes factors: rigorous reasoning without numbers
One-sided reasoning: the trap of asking only 'does this fit?'
…and 3 more

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